Webb8 juli 2016 · Tetlock’s first assault on the edifice of received opinion was a 20-year study into the accuracy of thousands of forecasts from hundreds of academics, analysts and pundits. Expert Political ... WebbIn the new book, Superforecasting, Wharton professor Philip Tetlock and coauthor Dan Gardner look into why making predictions is so difficult — and how to be...

The Good Judgment Project - The Good Judgment Project - abcdef.wiki

Webb29 aug. 2024 · Since its original publication, Expert Political Judgment by New York Times bestselling author Philip Tetlock has established itself as a contemporary classic in the literature on evaluating expert opinion. Tetlock first discusses arguments about whether the world is too complex for people to find the tools to understand political phenomena, … WebbThe Knowledge Project interview with Philip Tetlock deconstructs our ability to make accurate predictions into specific components. He learned through his work on The Good Judgment Project. In Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction, Tetlock and Dan Gardner (his co-author) set out to distill the ten key themes that have been … bird seed wreath amazon

Could you be a ‘super-forecaster’? - BBC Future

WebbAbout Us. Good Judgment Open is owned and operated by Good Judgment, a forecasting services firm that equips corporate and government decision makers with the benefit of foresight. Good Judgment’s co-founder, Philip Tetlock, literally wrote the book on state-of-the-art crowd-sourced forecasting. Learn more about Good Judgment and the services ... WebbPhilip E. Tetlock (born 1954) is a Canadian-American political science writer, and is currently the Annenberg University Professor at the University of Pennsylvania, where he … Philip E. Tetlock (born 1954) is a Canadian-American political science writer, and is currently the Annenberg University Professor at the University of Pennsylvania, where he is cross-appointed at the Wharton School and the School of Arts and Sciences. He was elected a Member of the American Philosophical Society in … Visa mer Tetlock was born in 1954 in Toronto, Canada and completed his undergraduate work at the University of British Columbia and doctoral work at Yale University, obtaining his PhD in 1979. He has served on the … Visa mer He has published over 200 articles in peer-reviewed journals and has edited or written ten books. Tetlock's research … Visa mer • Official website • Phil Tetlock at Social Psychology Network maintained by Scott Plous Visa mer birdseed wreath etsy